World War III is here and it’s America vs. China in Ukraine

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Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has kicked off a proxy battle that has western ideologies of the US, Europe, and the UK, battling authoritarian ideologies of Russia, North Korea, Iran, and China.

Putin sees weak political management in America, and it’s not simply Biden. Democracies are all the time at a practical drawback towards authoritarian states initially as a result of dictatorships act on the authority of a single ruler whereas democracies dither and debate. Like a great chess participant who sees weak point on the board and a gap for an assault, Putin took it.

President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin participated in a tete-a-tete throughout a U.S.-Russia Summit on June 16, 2021, on the Villa La Grange in Geneva. (Official White Home Photograph by Adam Schultz)

World Conflict III is right here, however no person needs to confess it. It’s a battle of sanctions, army {hardware}, protection tech, and cyber warfare on high of a really typical battle being fought on the bottom and largely uncontested air to floor.

Whereas it’s clear Ukraine’s requires a no-fly zone level out a significant weak point for air superiority, this air battle will largely finish when Russian troops develop into commingled with the fierce inhabitants of Ukraine, and missions by the Russian air drive can be simply as more likely to hit their very own troops because the Ukrainians.

Why is it WWIII?

Let me clarify.

China will doubtless ship weapons to Russia at Putin’s request to maintain his battle effort, simply as he has drawn on Syrian and Chechens as effectively. Little question China additionally has army observers with the Russian military to watch and report again to Beijing on what is occurring on the bottom when it comes to weapons effectiveness, logistical issues, and ways.  China’s army is patterned after Russia’s in drive construction and this battle in Ukraine will educate them many issues.

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On the flip aspect.

America’s spy company is definitely concerned as is their clandestine Particular Ops items, and presumably Military Particular Forces advisors.

Each the EU and the US are sending huge quantities of weapons and, together with the UK, have put in harsh financial sanctions towards Russians, not simply the Billionaire Oligarchs. This has resulted within the collapse of the Ruble and the shortcoming for individuals to transact with Visa or Mastercard and plenty of banking methods.

Over 2 million Ukrainian refugees have spilled into the international locations of Europe, and Russia additionally sees its personal inhabitants flee to Turkey, Georgia, and different states with open borders.

Ukrainian refugees crossing into Poland (Mvs.gov.ua, CC BY 4.0, by way of Wikimedia Commons)

It’s been crippling to everybody inside and out of doors of Russia, and the one factor no person is speaking about is who advantages. I’ll provide you with a clue, and it rhymes with China.

The Chinese language can now push their very own Pharma (e.g., most cancers medication have stopped flowing into the nation from the West), banking providers, and extra on Russia who’re pressured to interchange western corporations who vanished within the night time.

China additionally advantages from the distraction this battle creates for its personal targets in Taiwan. It is a nice experiment for them, and they’re going to come out stronger whatever the end result as they did with COVID.

China and Russia are allies cautious of one another too, neither one will need to take a backseat to the opposite and there are locations in Europe the place their pursuits can and do battle.  Exhausting as it might be to imagine, China could also be hoping to see Russia fail in Ukraine as a result of diminished status for Russia enhances China’s standing as effectively. Don’t be stunned to see Beijing attempt to step in sooner or later to attempt to dealer a peace deal to lift their profile on the worldwide stage.

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On an odd aspect notice, I used to be personally concerned in a excessive degree dialog with Hollywood execs once they requested for a plot change in a fictional television sequence to interchange a Center Jap protagonist. I stated, “Straightforward, simply sub in China.”

The response shook me to the core.

“We are able to’t do this, there’s an excessive amount of Chinese language cash tied up in American studios, something anti-China can be monetary suicide.”

Let that sink in for a bit whereas your children surrender all their private knowledge on TikTok to Xi Jinping.

 

Russian President Vladimir Putin with President of the Individuals’s Republic of China Xi Jinping throughout a tour of the Moscow Kremlin, 2019. (Kremlin.ru, CC BY 4.0, by way of Wikimedia Commons)

The World is a battlefield. All international locations on the globe will really feel the aftershock of Putin’s invasion for years, and most main western powers are pitted towards Russia, China, and Iran. Whether or not we need to admit it or not, that is what World Conflict III seems to be like in 2022.

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